United States vs Paraguay Prediction

FIFA World Cup · Sat 13 Jun, 02:00
United States
41 Full time
Paraguay
United States 4–1 Paraguay

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 18%
Away 38%

💡 United States have a slight edge — leaning United States, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 45.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1500 v 1730 Paraguay rated higher
Form Index 1.3 v 1.3 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 50%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Paraguay is the stronger side on Power Rating (1730 vs 1500).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Paraguay
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
USA
Home advantage
USA

Green = favours USA · Blue = favours Paraguay. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
USA1.3 ppg
Paraguay1.3 ppg
Power Rating
USA1500
Paraguay1730
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model65% · 24% · 11%
Power Rating25% · 12% · 63%

AI match preview

The United States holds a slight edge with a 44% chance of victory against Paraguay, who are not far behind at 38%, while a draw sits at 18%. The model projects a tight contest with an expected 1.82 goals for the US and 0.61 for Paraguay, making a 1-0 scoreline the most probable outcome. With under 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring only 39% likely, this match could be a closely fought defensive battle. Remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.82 – 0.61

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jun 2026 United States 4–1 Paraguay