Netherlands vs Japan Prediction

FIFA World Cup · Sun 14 Jun, 21:00
Netherlands
22 Full time
Japan
Netherlands 2–2 Japan

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (76%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 76%
Draw 12%
Away 12%

💡 Netherlands are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 80.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 80.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1990 v 1840 Netherlands rated higher
Form Index 1.3 v 1.3 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Netherlands is the stronger side on Power Rating (1990 vs 1840).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (3.0 expected goals).
  • Both model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Netherlands
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Netherlands
Home advantage
Netherlands

Green = favours Netherlands · Blue = favours Japan. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Netherlands1.3 ppg
Japan1.3 ppg
Power Rating
Netherlands1990
Japan1840
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model84% · 12% · 4%
Power Rating68% · 12% · 20%

AI match preview

The Netherlands enter this FIFA World Cup clash as strong favorites with a 76% chance of securing a home win, backed by a high confidence level of 80/100. The model projects a dominant performance with an expected goal tally of nearly 3 for the Dutch compared to just 0.61 for Japan, making a 2-0 scoreline the most likely outcome. While there's a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals, both teams scoring is less certain at 44%; remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.99 – 0.61

Most likely score

2-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 70%

Under 30%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jun 2026 Netherlands 2–2 Japan