Tunisia vs Japan Prediction

FIFA World Cup · Sun 21 Jun, 05:00
Tunisia
04 Full time
Japan
Tunisia 0–4 Japan

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (42%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 22%
Away 42%

💡 Japan have a slight edge — leaning Japan, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1683 v 1846 Japan rated higher
Form Index 0 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 50%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Japan is the stronger side on Power Rating (1846 vs 1683).
  • Japan is in clearly better recent form (1.0 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Japan
Form Index
Tunisia
Goal expectation
Tunisia
Home advantage
Tunisia

Green = favours Tunisia · Blue = favours Japan. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TunisiaL0 ppg
JapanD1 ppg
Power Rating
Tunisia1683
Japan1846
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model43% · 27% · 30%
Power Rating30% · 18% · 52%

AI match preview

Our model makes Japan the statistical favourite in this FIFA World Cup fixture, with a 41% probability attached to the away win. The expected-goals picture (1.7–1.4) points to an open, goal-friendly game with both teams likely to find the net. Our most likely scoreline is 1-1. Confidence rating: 43/100. As always these are statistical projections, not certainties — please gamble responsibly and only stake what you can afford to lose.

Generated by our model. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.68 – 1.37

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 59%

Under 41%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%

No 38%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jun 2026 Tunisia 0–4 Japan