Tunisia vs Netherlands Prediction

FIFA World Cup · Thu 25 Jun, 23:00
Tunisia
23:00 Upcoming
Netherlands

Match result prediction

Home 9%
Draw 13%
Away 78%

💡 Netherlands are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 75.7/100
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🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 75.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1668 v 1992 Netherlands rated higher
Form Index 0 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Netherlands is the stronger side on Power Rating (1992 vs 1668).
  • Netherlands is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.8 expected goals).
  • Both model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Netherlands
Form Index
Netherlands
Goal expectation
Netherlands
Home advantage
Tunisia

Green = favours Tunisia · Blue = favours Netherlands. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TunisiaLL0 ppg
NetherlandsDW2 ppg
Power Rating
Tunisia1668
Netherlands1992
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model9% · 16% · 76%
Power Rating16% · 12% · 72%

AI match preview

Our model makes Netherlands the statistical favourite in this FIFA World Cup fixture, with a 53% probability attached to the away win. The expected-goals picture (1.5–1.4) points to an open, goal-friendly game with both teams likely to find the net. Our most likely scoreline is 1-1. Confidence rating: 60/100. As always these are statistical projections, not certainties — please gamble responsibly and only stake what you can afford to lose.

Generated by our model. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.92 – 2.80

Most likely score

0-2

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 72%

Under 28%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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