Japan vs Sweden Prediction

FIFA World Cup · Thu 25 Jun, 23:00
Japan
23:00 Upcoming
Sweden

Match result prediction

Home 58%
Draw 21%
Away 21%

💡 Japan are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.0/100
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🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1861 v 1789 Japan rated higher
Form Index 2 v 1.5 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Japan is the stronger side on Power Rating (1861 vs 1789).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (3.3 expected goals).
  • Both model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Japan
Form Index
Japan
Goal expectation
Japan
Home advantage
Japan

Green = favours Japan · Blue = favours Sweden. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
JapanDW2 ppg
SwedenWL1.5 ppg
Power Rating
Japan1861
Sweden1789
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model81% · 12% · 7%
Power Rating59% · 15% · 27%

AI match preview

Our model makes Japan the statistical favourite in this FIFA World Cup fixture, with a 69% probability attached to the home win. The expected-goals picture (3.4–0.9) points to an open, goal-friendly game with both teams likely to find the net. Our most likely scoreline is 3-0. Confidence rating: 80/100. As always these are statistical projections, not certainties — please gamble responsibly and only stake what you can afford to lose.

Generated by our model. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

3.25 – 0.94

Most likely score

3-0

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 79%

Under 21%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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