Iraq vs Norway Prediction

FIFA World Cup · Tue 16 Jun, 23:00
Iraq
14 Full time
Norway
Iraq 1–4 Norway

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 24%
Away 36%

💡 Iraq have a slight edge — leaning Iraq, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1690 v 1820 Norway rated higher
Form Index 1.3 v 1.3 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 50%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Norway is the stronger side on Power Rating (1820 vs 1690).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Norway
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Iraq
Home advantage
Iraq

Green = favours Iraq · Blue = favours Norway. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Iraq1.3 ppg
Norway1.3 ppg
Power Rating
Iraq1690
Norway1820
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 28% · 25%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 47%

AI match preview

Iraq and Norway face off in a closely matched FIFA World Cup encounter, with the model giving a slight edge to Iraq at 39% for a home win, while a draw and Norway victory remain strong possibilities. The expected goals suggest a competitive game with Iraq at 1.62 and Norway at 1.11, and the most likely scoreline predicted is a 1-1 draw. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities just above 50%, fans can anticipate an open and engaging contest. Remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.11

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jun 2026 Iraq 1–4 Norway