FC St. Pauli 1910 vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Bundesliga · Tue 27 Jan, 19:30
FC St. Pauli 1910
11 Full time
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 RB Leipzig

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (50%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 21%
Draw 29%
Away 50%

💡 RB Leipzig are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 56.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1407 v 1560 RB Leipzig rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on St. Pauli v RB Leipzig

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Why we predict this

  • RB Leipzig is the stronger side on Power Rating (1560 vs 1407).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
RB Leipzig
Form Index
RB Leipzig
Goal expectation
RB Leipzig
Home advantage
St. Pauli

Green = favours St. Pauli · Blue = favours RB Leipzig. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
St. PauliWDLLD1.0 ppg
RB LeipzigLLWLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
St. Pauli1407
RB Leipzig1560
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model20% · 26% · 55%
Power Rating30% · 19% · 51%
Machine-learning12% · 44% · 45%

AI match preview

RB Leipzig are favored to edge FC St. Pauli with a 50% chance of victory, although a draw remains a strong possibility at 29%. The model projects a closely contested match with expected goals of 1.04 for St. Pauli and 1.84 for Leipzig, making a 1-1 scoreline the most likely outcome. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities just above 55%, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.04 – 1.84

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910
Jan 2026 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 RB Leipzig