FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Sun 18 Jan, 16:30
FC Augsburg
22 Full time
SC Freiburg
FC Augsburg 2–2 SC Freiburg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (39%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 29%
Away 39%

💡 SC Freiburg have a slight edge — leaning SC Freiburg, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1434 v 1501 Freiburg rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • SC Freiburg is the stronger side on Power Rating (1501 vs 1434).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Freiburg
Form Index
Freiburg
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Augsburg

Green = favours Augsburg · Blue = favours Freiburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AugsburgWLDLD1.0 ppg
FreiburgLDWWL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Augsburg1434
Freiburg1501
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 28% · 37%
Power Rating36% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning27% · 31% · 42%

AI match preview

FC Augsburg host SC Freiburg in a Bundesliga clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 39%, though a draw remains a close possibility at 29%. Both sides are projected to score around 1.5 goals each, with the most likely scoreline being a 1-1 draw, while there is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% probability both teams will find the net. These projections are based on statistical analysis—please remember to gamble responsibly and only bet if you are 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.49

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

WWK Arena Augsburg, Germany Capacity 30,660 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 FC Augsburg 2–2 SC Freiburg
Aug 2025 SC Freiburg 1–3 FC Augsburg