Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 17 Jan, 14:30
Hamburger SV 0–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 27%
Away 32%

💡 Hamburger SV have a slight edge — leaning Hamburger SV, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1453 v 1471 M'gladbach rated higher
Form Index WWLDL v WLLWL HSV 1.4 · M'gladbach 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1453 vs 1471).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
M'gladbach
Form Index
HSV
Goal expectation
HSV
Home advantage
HSV

Green = favours HSV · Blue = favours M'gladbach. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HSVWWLDL1.4 ppg
M'gladbachWLLWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
HSV1453
M'gladbach1471
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 29% · 29%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning38% · 30% · 33%

AI match preview

Hamburger SV and Borussia Mönchengladbach are set for a closely contested Bundesliga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 41% probability, though a draw and away win remain realistic outcomes. Expected goals suggest a tight match, with 1.46 for Hamburg and 1.17 for Gladbach, and the most likely scoreline predicted as 1-1. With both teams projected to find the net in 55% of simulations and just under a 50% chance for over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.17

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Hamburger SV 0–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach
Aug 2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 Hamburger SV