1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 24 Jan, 17:30
1. FC Union Berlin 0–3 Borussia Dortmund

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (45%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 27%
Draw 29%
Away 45%

💡 Borussia Dortmund have a slight edge — leaning Borussia Dortmund, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 49.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1492 v 1610 Dortmund rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 2.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Union Berlin v Dortmund

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Why we predict this

  • Borussia Dortmund is the stronger side on Power Rating (1610 vs 1492).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Dortmund
Form Index
Dortmund
Goal expectation
Dortmund
Home advantage
Union Berlin

Green = favours Union Berlin · Blue = favours Dortmund. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Union BerlinWWDDD1.8 ppg
DortmundDWDWW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Union Berlin1492
Dortmund1610
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 27% · 45%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 45%
Machine-learning18% · 38% · 45%

AI match preview

In this Bundesliga clash, Borussia Dortmund are favored with a 45% chance to secure an away win against 1. FC Union Berlin, though a draw holds a slightly higher probability than a home victory. The model projects a tight contest with an expected goals tally of 1.30 for Union Berlin and 1.68 for Dortmund, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.68

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadion An der Alten Forsterei Berlin, Germany Capacity 22,012 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 1. FC Union Berlin 0–3 Borussia Dortmund
Aug 2025 Borussia Dortmund 3–0 1. FC Union Berlin