Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SV Werder Bremen Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 24 Jan, 14:30
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 SV Werder Bremen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (66%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 66%
Draw 16%
Away 18%

💡 Bayer 04 Leverkusen are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 79.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 79.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1533 v 1448 Leverkusen rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 0.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Leverkusen v Bremen

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Why we predict this

  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1533 vs 1448).
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Leverkusen
Form Index
Leverkusen
Goal expectation
Leverkusen
Home advantage
Leverkusen

Green = favours Leverkusen · Blue = favours Bremen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeverkusenLWWLL1.2 ppg
BremenLLDLD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Leverkusen1533
Bremen1448
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model66% · 21% · 14%
Power Rating61% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning70% · 16% · 14%

AI match preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen enter this Bundesliga clash with a strong 66% probability of securing a home win, backed by a confident expected goals edge of 2.31 to 0.99 over SV Werder Bremen. The model suggests a most likely 2-0 scoreline, with a 64% chance of seeing over 2.5 goals and a 58% probability both teams will score. These projections highlight statistical tendencies but remember to gamble responsibly (18+), as outcomes can always defy expectations.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.31 – 0.99

Most likely score

2-0

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 SV Werder Bremen
Aug 2025 SV Werder Bremen 3–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen