1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 24 Jan, 14:30
1. FSV Mainz 05
31 Full time
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (29%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 29%
Away 36%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1426 v 1461 Wolfsburg rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Mainz v Wolfsburg

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1426 vs 1461).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Wolfsburg
Form Index
Wolfsburg
Goal expectation
Wolfsburg
Home advantage
Mainz

Green = favours Mainz · Blue = favours Wolfsburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MainzDDDWL1.2 ppg
WolfsburgWLLWD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Mainz1426
Wolfsburg1461
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model32% · 30% · 38%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning33% · 32% · 35%

AI match preview

Mainz 05 and VfL Wolfsburg appear evenly matched, with the model assigning both sides a 36% chance of victory and a 29% probability of a draw. The expected goals are close, suggesting a tightly contested game likely to produce around two to three goals, with a 52% chance both teams will score. The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, but as always, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.18 – 1.31

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg
Aug 2025 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05