FC Bayern München vs FC Augsburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 24 Jan, 14:30
FC Bayern München 1–2 FC Augsburg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (88%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 88%
Draw 7%
Away 5%

💡 FC Bayern München are strong favourites — roughly 9 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 95.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 95.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1703 v 1434 Bayern rated higher
Form Index 2.6 v 0.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • FC Bayern München is the stronger side on Power Rating (1703 vs 1434).
  • FC Bayern München is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (4.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bayern
Form Index
Bayern
Goal expectation
Bayern
Home advantage
Bayern

Green = favours Bayern · Blue = favours Augsburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BayernDWWWW2.6 ppg
AugsburgLDLDD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Bayern1703
Augsburg1434
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model92% · 6% · 2%
Power Rating77% · 12% · 11%
Machine-learning96% · 2% · 1%

AI match preview

FC Bayern München are strong favorites to secure a home victory against FC Augsburg, with an 88% probability and a high confidence rating of 95/100. The model projects a dominant performance from Bayern, expecting a 4-0 scoreline and a total of 4.24 goals scored by the hosts compared to 0.73 by the visitors. While over 2.5 goals is likely at 87%, both teams scoring is less certain at 51%; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

4.24 – 0.73

Most likely score

4-0

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 87%

Under 13%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 FC Bayern München 1–2 FC Augsburg
Aug 2025 FC Augsburg 2–3 FC Bayern München