SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Köln Prediction

Bundesliga · Sun 25 Jan, 16:30
SC Freiburg
21 Full time
1. FC Köln
SC Freiburg 2–1 1. FC Köln

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (55%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 55%
Draw 22%
Away 24%

💡 SC Freiburg are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 63.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 63.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1500 v 1460 Freiburg rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 0.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Freiburg v 1. FC Köln

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1500 vs 1460).
  • SC Freiburg is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Freiburg
Form Index
Freiburg
Goal expectation
Freiburg
Home advantage
Freiburg

Green = favours Freiburg · Blue = favours 1. FC Köln. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FreiburgDWWLD1.6 ppg
1. FC KölnLLDLW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Freiburg1500
1. FC Köln1460
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model55% · 25% · 20%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning56% · 22% · 22%

AI match preview

SC Freiburg host 1. FC Köln in a Bundesliga clash where the model favors a home win with a 55% probability and a confidence rating of 63/100. Expected goals suggest Freiburg may edge the contest 1.87 to 1.06, though the most likely score remains a 1-1 draw, reflecting a competitive encounter. With a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and 57% probability both teams score, fans can anticipate an engaging match; remember these projections are statistical and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.87 – 1.06

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Europa-Park Stadion Freiburg, Germany Capacity 34,700 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 SC Freiburg 2–1 1. FC Köln
Aug 2025 1. FC Köln 4–1 SC Freiburg