FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Hamburger SV Prediction

Bundesliga · Fri 23 Jan, 19:30
FC St. Pauli 1910 0–0 Hamburger SV

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 28%
Away 31%

💡 FC St. Pauli 1910 have a slight edge — leaning FC St. Pauli 1910, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1408 v 1451 HSV rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on St. Pauli v HSV

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Why we predict this

  • Hamburger SV is the stronger side on Power Rating (1451 vs 1408).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
HSV
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
St. Pauli
Home advantage
St. Pauli

Green = favours St. Pauli · Blue = favours HSV. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
St. PauliDWDLL1.0 ppg
HSVWLDLD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
St. Pauli1408
HSV1451
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 28% · 23%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning35% · 30% · 35%

AI match preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 hosts Hamburger SV in a closely contested Bundesliga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 41% probability for a win, while a draw and away victory remain plausible outcomes. The expected goals suggest a modest attacking output from both teams, with a 1-1 scoreline emerging as the most likely scenario, reflecting a balanced encounter. There is a moderate chance of both teams scoring (52%) and the match surpassing 2.5 goals (47%), but fans should remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.01

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–0 Hamburger SV
Aug 2025 Hamburger SV 0–2 FC St. Pauli 1910