Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 31 Jan, 14:30
Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 23%
Away 38%

💡 Eintracht Frankfurt have a slight edge — leaning Eintracht Frankfurt, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1498 v 1540 Leverkusen rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Frankfurt v Leverkusen

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Why we predict this

  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1540 vs 1498).
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Leverkusen
Form Index
Leverkusen
Goal expectation
Leverkusen
Home advantage
Frankfurt

Green = favours Frankfurt · Blue = favours Leverkusen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FrankfurtDDLDL0.6 ppg
LeverkusenWWLLW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Frankfurt1498
Leverkusen1540
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 23% · 40%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning38% · 22% · 40%

AI match preview

Eintracht Frankfurt and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are poised for a tightly contested Bundesliga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 39%, just ahead of Leverkusen's 38% chance. The expected goals are nearly even, suggesting an open game likely to see both teams find the net, with the most probable scoreline being a 1-1 draw. With a 74% probability for over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an entertaining match, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.88 – 1.95

Most likely score

1-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 74%

Under 26%

Both teams to score

Yes 74%

No 26%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Deutsche Bank Park Frankfurt, Germany Capacity 58,000 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Sept 2025 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–1 Eintracht Frankfurt