TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Union Berlin Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 31 Jan, 14:30
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–1 1. FC Union Berlin

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (69%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 69%
Draw 16%
Away 16%

💡 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 83.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 83.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1605 v 1475 Hoffenheim rated higher
Form Index 2.6 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is the stronger side on Power Rating (1605 vs 1475).
  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Hoffenheim
Form Index
Hoffenheim
Goal expectation
Hoffenheim
Home advantage
Hoffenheim

Green = favours Hoffenheim · Blue = favours Union Berlin. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HoffenheimDWWWW2.6 ppg
Union BerlinWDDDL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Hoffenheim1605
Union Berlin1475
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model59% · 24% · 17%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 22%
Machine-learning80% · 12% · 8%

AI match preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are favored to secure a home win against 1. FC Union Berlin with a 69% probability and high confidence at 83/100, supported by expected goals of 2.03 to 1.03. Despite this, the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting the competitive nature of the encounter. With a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and 57% probability of both teams scoring, this match promises attacking action; however, these are statistical projections and fans should gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.03 – 1.03

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 59%

Under 41%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–1 1. FC Union Berlin
Sept 2025 1. FC Union Berlin 2–4 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim