1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Augsburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 7 Feb, 14:30
1. FSV Mainz 05
20 Full time
FC Augsburg
1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 FC Augsburg

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 27%
Away 29%

💡 1. FSV Mainz 05 have a slight edge — leaning 1. FSV Mainz 05, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1458 v 1461 Augsburg rated higher
Form Index 2.0 v 1.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Mainz v Augsburg

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1458 vs 1461).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Mainz
Goal expectation
Mainz
Home advantage
Mainz

Green = favours Mainz · Blue = favours Augsburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MainzDWLWW2.0 ppg
AugsburgLDDWW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Mainz1458
Augsburg1461
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 31% · 29%
Power Rating46% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning45% · 29% · 26%

AI match preview

Mainz 05 holds a slight edge with a 44% chance of winning against Augsburg, though a draw remains a plausible 27% outcome according to the model. The expected goals are close, predicting a tight contest likely to end around 1-1, with a 50% probability that both teams will score. While over 2.5 goals is less likely at 43%, this matchup promises a competitive battle—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.09

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 FC Augsburg
Sept 2025 FC Augsburg 1–4 1. FSV Mainz 05