TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 14 Feb, 14:30
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 SC Freiburg

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (66%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 66%
Draw 16%
Away 18%

💡 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 80.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 80.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1600 v 1508 Hoffenheim rated higher
Form Index 2.4 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is the stronger side on Power Rating (1600 vs 1508).
  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Hoffenheim
Form Index
Hoffenheim
Goal expectation
Hoffenheim
Home advantage
Hoffenheim

Green = favours Hoffenheim · Blue = favours Freiburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HoffenheimWWWWL2.4 ppg
FreiburgLDWLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Hoffenheim1600
Freiburg1508
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model67% · 19% · 14%
Power Rating62% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning71% · 15% · 14%

AI match preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are favored to edge out SC Freiburg at home, with a 66% chance of victory and an expected goals tally suggesting a 2-1 scoreline. The model projects a lively encounter, with a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance both teams will find the net. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates and outcomes can vary; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.53 – 1.14

Most likely score

2-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 71%

Under 29%

Both teams to score

Yes 64%

No 36%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 SC Freiburg
Sept 2025 SC Freiburg 1–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim