Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Union Berlin Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 14 Feb, 14:30
Hamburger SV 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 26%
Away 27%

💡 Hamburger SV are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 53.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1473 v 1466 HSV rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 0.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on HSV v Union Berlin

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1473 vs 1466).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
HSV
Goal expectation
HSV
Home advantage
HSV

Green = favours HSV · Blue = favours Union Berlin. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HSVLDDDW1.2 ppg
Union BerlinDDLLD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
HSV1473
Union Berlin1466
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 29% · 21%
Power Rating48% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning44% · 28% · 28%

AI match preview

Hamburger SV holds a slight edge with a 48% chance of victory against 1. FC Union Berlin, backed by an expected goals advantage of 1.53 to 0.90. Despite the home win being the most probable outcome, the model suggests a balanced clash with a 26% draw probability and a closely contested 1-1 as the most likely scoreline. With under 2.5 goals and both teams scoring scenarios hovering near 44-48%, this match promises a tactical battle—remember these projections are statistical estimates and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.53 – 0.90

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Hamburger SV 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin
Sept 2025 1. FC Union Berlin 0–0 Hamburger SV