Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC St. Pauli 1910 Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 14 Feb, 14:30
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–0 FC St. Pauli 1910

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (71%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 71%
Draw 15%
Away 14%

💡 Bayer 04 Leverkusen are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 86.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 86.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1556 v 1417 Leverkusen rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Leverkusen v St. Pauli

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1556 vs 1417).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Leverkusen
Form Index
Leverkusen
Goal expectation
Leverkusen
Home advantage
Leverkusen

Green = favours Leverkusen · Blue = favours St. Pauli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeverkusenLLWWD1.4 ppg
St. PauliLDDLW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Leverkusen1556
St. Pauli1417
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model63% · 25% · 13%
Power Rating67% · 12% · 21%
Machine-learning83% · 8% · 9%

AI match preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen enter this Bundesliga clash as strong favorites with a 71% chance of securing a home win, backed by a high confidence rating of 86/100. The model projects 1.85 expected goals for Leverkusen against 0.73 for FC St. Pauli, suggesting a probable 2-0 scoreline. With under 50% probability for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, this match may lean towards a controlled home victory; remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.85 – 0.73

Most likely score

2-0

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–0 FC St. Pauli 1910
Sept 2025 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen