VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 14 Feb, 17:30
VfB Stuttgart
31 Full time
1. FC Köln
VfB Stuttgart 3–1 1. FC Köln

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (63%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 63%
Draw 18%
Away 19%

💡 VfB Stuttgart are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 76.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 76.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1573 v 1451 Stuttgart rated higher
Form Index 2.0 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Stuttgart v 1. FC Köln

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • VfB Stuttgart is the stronger side on Power Rating (1573 vs 1451).
  • VfB Stuttgart is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Stuttgart
Form Index
Stuttgart
Goal expectation
Stuttgart
Home advantage
Stuttgart

Green = favours Stuttgart · Blue = favours 1. FC Köln. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StuttgartWDWWL2.0 ppg
1. FC KölnLWLWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Stuttgart1573
1. FC Köln1451
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 30% · 24%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 22%
Machine-learning78% · 12% · 11%

AI match preview

VfB Stuttgart are favored to edge 1. FC Köln at home with a 63% probability and an expected goals advantage of 1.44 to 0.96. Despite the home win pick, the model highlights a draw as the most likely scoreline at 1-1, reflecting the competitive balance. With under 2.5 goals and less than 50% chance for both teams to score, this match could be a tight, tactical affair—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.44 – 0.96

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

MHPArena Stuttgart, Germany Capacity 60,449 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 1. FC Köln
Sept 2025 1. FC Köln 1–2 VfB Stuttgart