FC St. Pauli 1910 vs SV Werder Bremen Prediction

Bundesliga · Sun 22 Feb, 16:30
FC St. Pauli 1910 2–1 SV Werder Bremen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 28%
Away 30%

💡 FC St. Pauli 1910 have a slight edge — leaning FC St. Pauli 1910, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1407 v 1412 Bremen rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 0.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on St. Pauli v Bremen

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1407 vs 1412).
  • FC St. Pauli 1910 is in clearly better recent form (1.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
St. Pauli
Goal expectation
St. Pauli
Home advantage
St. Pauli

Green = favours St. Pauli · Blue = favours Bremen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
St. PauliDDLWL1.0 ppg
BremenLLDLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
St. Pauli1407
Bremen1412
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 30% · 31%
Power Rating46% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning44% · 32% · 25%

AI match preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 and SV Werder Bremen are set for a tightly contested Bundesliga clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 43% probability. The expected goals are close, 1.32 for St. Pauli and 1.17 for Bremen, indicating a balanced match that could well end in a 1-1 draw. With a 52% chance both teams will score and a 45% chance the game goes over 2.5 goals, fans should anticipate an engaging encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.17

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 FC St. Pauli 1910 2–1 SV Werder Bremen
Oct 2025 SV Werder Bremen 1–0 FC St. Pauli 1910