VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Augsburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 21 Feb, 14:30
VfL Wolfsburg
23 Full time
FC Augsburg
VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 FC Augsburg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 22%
Away 34%

💡 VfL Wolfsburg have a slight edge — leaning VfL Wolfsburg, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1436 v 1454 Augsburg rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Wolfsburg v Augsburg

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1436 vs 1454).
  • FC Augsburg is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Augsburg
Form Index
Augsburg
Goal expectation
Wolfsburg
Home advantage
Wolfsburg

Green = favours Wolfsburg · Blue = favours Augsburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
WolfsburgDLLLD0.4 ppg
AugsburgDWWLW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Wolfsburg1436
Augsburg1454
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model43% · 26% · 31%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning44% · 18% · 38%

AI match preview

VfL Wolfsburg host FC Augsburg in a Bundesliga clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 44%, though a draw and away victory remain plausible with 22% and 34% probabilities respectively. The expected goals suggest a tight contest (1.76 for Wolfsburg vs. 1.49 for Augsburg), with a 1-1 scoreline as the most likely outcome. With a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and 66% probability of both teams scoring, fans can expect an engaging match; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.76 – 1.49

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 63%

Under 37%

Both teams to score

Yes 66%

No 34%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Volkswagen Arena Wolfsburg, Germany Capacity 28,917 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 FC Augsburg
Oct 2025 FC Augsburg 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg