1. FC Köln vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 21 Feb, 14:30
1. FC Köln 2–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (51%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 23%
Draw 26%
Away 51%

💡 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 58.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1442 v 1611 Hoffenheim rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 2.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on 1. FC Köln v Hoffenheim

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Why we predict this

  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is the stronger side on Power Rating (1611 vs 1442).
  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Hoffenheim
Form Index
Hoffenheim
Goal expectation
Hoffenheim
Home advantage
1. FC Köln

Green = favours 1. FC Köln · Blue = favours Hoffenheim. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
1. FC KölnWLWLL1.2 ppg
HoffenheimWWWLW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
1. FC Köln1442
Hoffenheim1611
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model29% · 25% · 46%
Power Rating29% · 18% · 53%
Machine-learning11% · 36% · 53%

AI match preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim enters this Bundesliga clash with a 51% probability to secure an away win, slightly favored over 1. FC Köln and a draw. The match is projected to be competitive, with expected goals at 1.43 for Köln and 1.84 for Hoffenheim, and a 1-1 scoreline remains the most likely outcome. With a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and 65% probability both teams will score, fans can anticipate an open game; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.84

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 63%

Under 37%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

RheinEnergieStadion Cologne, Germany Capacity 50,000 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 1. FC Köln 2–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Oct 2025 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–1 1. FC Köln