VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Sun 1 Mar, 14:30
VfB Stuttgart
40 Full time
VfL Wolfsburg
VfB Stuttgart 4–0 VfL Wolfsburg

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (68%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 68%
Draw 16%
Away 16%

💡 VfB Stuttgart are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 82.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 82.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1577 v 1423 Stuttgart rated higher
Form Index 2.0 v 0.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Stuttgart v Wolfsburg

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Why we predict this

  • VfB Stuttgart is the stronger side on Power Rating (1577 vs 1423).
  • VfB Stuttgart is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Stuttgart
Form Index
Stuttgart
Goal expectation
Stuttgart
Home advantage
Stuttgart

Green = favours Stuttgart · Blue = favours Wolfsburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StuttgartWWLWD2.0 ppg
WolfsburgLLLDL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Stuttgart1577
Wolfsburg1423
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 26% · 20%
Power Rating69% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning82% · 11% · 7%

AI match preview

VfB Stuttgart are favored to claim victory at home against VfL Wolfsburg, with a 68% chance according to model projections, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.83 to 1.06. Despite the home win prediction, the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting a competitive match with a 56% probability both teams will score. Over 2.5 goals is slightly more than even at 55%, indicating a moderately open game; remember these are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.83 – 1.06

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

MHPArena Stuttgart, Germany Capacity 60,449 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 VfB Stuttgart 4–0 VfL Wolfsburg
Oct 2025 VfL Wolfsburg 0–3 VfB Stuttgart