TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC St. Pauli 1910 Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 28 Feb, 14:30
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–1 FC St. Pauli 1910

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (78%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 78%
Draw 12%
Away 11%

💡 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 95.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 95.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1608 v 1416 Hoffenheim rated higher
Form Index 2.0 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is the stronger side on Power Rating (1608 vs 1416).
  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Hoffenheim
Form Index
Hoffenheim
Goal expectation
Hoffenheim
Home advantage
Hoffenheim

Green = favours Hoffenheim · Blue = favours St. Pauli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HoffenheimWWLWD2.0 ppg
St. PauliDLWLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Hoffenheim1608
St. Pauli1416
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model72% · 19% · 9%
Power Rating72% · 12% · 16%
Machine-learning90% · 5% · 6%

AI match preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are strongly favored to secure a home victory against FC St. Pauli, with a 78% chance of winning and an expected goals tally of 2.39 compared to St. Pauli's 0.77. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most probable outcome, reflecting Hoffenheim's offensive edge and defensive solidity. While over 2.5 goals is slightly favored at 61% and both teams scoring is a 50/50 prospect, these projections are statistical probabilities—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.39 – 0.77

Most likely score

2-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–1 FC St. Pauli 1910
Oct 2025 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim