1. FC Köln vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 7 Mar, 17:30
1. FC Köln
12 Full time
Borussia Dortmund
1. FC Köln 1–2 Borussia Dortmund

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (55%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 20%
Draw 26%
Away 55%

💡 Borussia Dortmund are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 63.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 63.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1433 v 1633 Dortmund rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on 1. FC Köln v Dortmund

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Why we predict this

  • Borussia Dortmund is the stronger side on Power Rating (1633 vs 1433).
  • Borussia Dortmund is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Dortmund
Form Index
Dortmund
Goal expectation
Dortmund
Home advantage
1. FC Köln

Green = favours 1. FC Köln · Blue = favours Dortmund. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
1. FC KölnWLLDL0.8 ppg
DortmundWWWDL2.0 ppg
Power Rating
1. FC Köln1433
Dortmund1633
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model23% · 24% · 52%
Power Rating27% · 15% · 58%
Machine-learning8% · 39% · 53%

AI match preview

Borussia Dortmund are favored to edge 1. FC Köln with a 55% chance of an away win, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 26%. The model projects a competitive match with expected goals tallying 1.28 for Köln and 1.97 for Dortmund, suggesting an open game likely to produce goals for both sides. With a 63% probability for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, fans can anticipate an entertaining encounter, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.28 – 1.97

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 63%

Under 37%

Both teams to score

Yes 63%

No 37%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

RheinEnergieStadion Cologne, Germany Capacity 50,000 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 1. FC Köln 1–2 Borussia Dortmund
Oct 2025 Borussia Dortmund 1–0 1. FC Köln