1. FC Union Berlin vs SV Werder Bremen Prediction

Bundesliga · Sun 8 Mar, 16:30
1. FC Union Berlin 1–4 SV Werder Bremen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (54%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 54%
Draw 21%
Away 25%

💡 1. FC Union Berlin are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 62.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 62.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1459 v 1414 Union Berlin rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 0.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Union Berlin v Bremen

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Why we predict this

  • 1. FC Union Berlin is the stronger side on Power Rating (1459 vs 1414).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Union Berlin
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Union Berlin
Home advantage
Union Berlin

Green = favours Union Berlin · Blue = favours Bremen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Union BerlinLDLWL0.8 ppg
BremenDLLLW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Union Berlin1459
Bremen1414
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 28% · 23%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning58% · 19% · 23%

AI match preview

1. FC Union Berlin host SV Werder Bremen in a Bundesliga clash where the model gives a 54% chance for a home win, with a moderate confidence rating of 62 out of 100. The expected goals suggest a closely contested match at 1.59 for Union Berlin and 1.01 for Bremen, aligning with the most likely scoreline of 1-1. With just under half the probability for over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance both teams score, this game could hinge on fine margins; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.59 – 1.01

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadion An der Alten Forsterei Berlin, Germany Capacity 22,012 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 1. FC Union Berlin 1–4 SV Werder Bremen
Oct 2025 SV Werder Bremen 1–0 1. FC Union Berlin