1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 7 Mar, 14:30
1. FSV Mainz 05
22 Full time
VfB Stuttgart
1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfB Stuttgart

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (47%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 24%
Draw 29%
Away 47%

💡 VfB Stuttgart are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 52.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1466 v 1586 Stuttgart rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Mainz v Stuttgart

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • VfB Stuttgart is the stronger side on Power Rating (1586 vs 1466).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Stuttgart
Form Index
Stuttgart
Goal expectation
Stuttgart
Home advantage
Mainz

Green = favours Mainz · Blue = favours Stuttgart. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MainzWWLDD1.6 ppg
StuttgartWLWDW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Mainz1466
Stuttgart1586
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model23% · 26% · 51%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 45%
Machine-learning16% · 39% · 46%

AI match preview

In this Bundesliga clash, VfB Stuttgart are favored to edge out 1. FSV Mainz 05 with a 47% probability, though a draw holds a slightly lower 29% chance. The model projects a tight contest with an expected goals tally of 1.16 for Mainz and 1.79 for Stuttgart, suggesting a competitive match that could end in a 1-1 draw. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities sitting around 57% and 59% respectively, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.16 – 1.79

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfB Stuttgart
Oct 2025 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05