RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 7 Mar, 14:30
RB Leipzig
21 Full time
FC Augsburg
RB Leipzig 2–1 FC Augsburg

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (64%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 64%
Draw 15%
Away 21%

💡 RB Leipzig are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 75.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 75.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1558 v 1479 RB Leipzig rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 2.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • RB Leipzig is the stronger side on Power Rating (1558 vs 1479).
  • FC Augsburg is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
RB Leipzig
Form Index
Augsburg
Goal expectation
RB Leipzig
Home advantage
RB Leipzig

Green = favours RB Leipzig · Blue = favours Augsburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RB LeipzigLWDDW1.6 ppg
AugsburgWLWWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
RB Leipzig1558
Augsburg1479
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model62% · 21% · 17%
Power Rating60% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning69% · 11% · 20%

AI match preview

RB Leipzig enters this Bundesliga clash with a 64% probability of securing a home win against FC Augsburg, backed by an expected goals margin of 2.38 to 1.23. The model projects a competitive match, with a 2-1 scoreline the most likely outcome, and a strong 70% chance of the game seeing over 2.5 goals alongside a 65% probability both teams will score. These projections are statistical estimates and should be used responsibly when considering bets—always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.38 – 1.23

Most likely score

2-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 70%

Under 30%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Red Bull Arena Leipzig, Germany Capacity 47,069 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC Augsburg
Oct 2025 FC Augsburg 0–6 RB Leipzig