SV Werder Bremen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Bundesliga · Sun 15 Mar, 14:30
SV Werder Bremen 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (40%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 27%
Away 33%

💡 SV Werder Bremen have a slight edge — leaning SV Werder Bremen, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 41.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1440 v 1468 Mainz rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bremen v Mainz

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1440 vs 1468).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Mainz
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Bremen

Green = favours Bremen · Blue = favours Mainz. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BremenLLLWW1.2 ppg
MainzWLDDD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Bremen1440
Mainz1468
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 28% · 36%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning40% · 29% · 31%

AI match preview

SV Werder Bremen and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are set for a closely contested Bundesliga clash, with the model giving Bremen a slight 40% edge for a home win, though a draw or away victory remain well within reach. The expected goals tally is nearly even at 1.48 to 1.45, suggesting a tight match with a 1-1 draw as the most probable scoreline. With a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an engaging game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.45

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Weserstadion Bremen, Germany Capacity 42,100 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 SV Werder Bremen 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05
Nov 2025 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 SV Werder Bremen