VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Bundesliga · Sun 15 Mar, 18:30
VfB Stuttgart
10 Full time
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart 1–0 RB Leipzig

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 23%
Away 30%

💡 VfB Stuttgart are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 53.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1584 v 1565 Stuttgart rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 2.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Stuttgart v RB Leipzig

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1584 vs 1565).
  • RB Leipzig is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Stuttgart
Form Index
RB Leipzig
Goal expectation
Stuttgart
Home advantage
Stuttgart

Green = favours Stuttgart · Blue = favours RB Leipzig. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StuttgartLWDWD1.6 ppg
RB LeipzigWDDWW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Stuttgart1584
RB Leipzig1565
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 29% · 30%
Power Rating50% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning52% · 20% · 28%

AI match preview

VfB Stuttgart and RB Leipzig are set for a closely contested Bundesliga clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 48% probability and a confidence rating of 53/100. The expected goals suggest a tight game, projecting 1.42 for Stuttgart and 1.18 for Leipzig, with a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline. While there's a moderate chance for both teams to score (54%) and a near-even split on over 2.5 goals (48%), these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.18

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Stadium & conditions

MHPArena Stuttgart, Germany Capacity 60,449 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 VfB Stuttgart 1–0 RB Leipzig
Nov 2025 RB Leipzig 3–1 VfB Stuttgart