TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 14 Mar, 14:30
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (77%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 77%
Draw 12%
Away 11%

💡 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 95.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 95.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1599 v 1403 Hoffenheim rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 0.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Hoffenheim v Wolfsburg

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is the stronger side on Power Rating (1599 vs 1403).
  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Hoffenheim
Form Index
Hoffenheim
Goal expectation
Hoffenheim
Home advantage
Hoffenheim

Green = favours Hoffenheim · Blue = favours Wolfsburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HoffenheimLWDLW1.4 ppg
WolfsburgLDLLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Hoffenheim1599
Wolfsburg1403
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model71% · 18% · 12%
Power Rating72% · 12% · 16%
Machine-learning88% · 6% · 6%

AI match preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim enter this Bundesliga clash with a strong statistical edge, holding a 77% probability of securing a home win against VfL Wolfsburg. The model forecasts an expected goals tally of 2.65 for Hoffenheim and 1.04 for Wolfsburg, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1, suggesting a competitive but favorable outcome for the hosts. With a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an engaging match, though these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.65 – 1.04

Most likely score

2-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 71%

Under 29%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg
Nov 2025 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim