SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin Prediction

Bundesliga · Sun 15 Mar, 16:30
SC Freiburg 0–1 1. FC Union Berlin

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (59%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 59%
Draw 19%
Away 22%

💡 SC Freiburg are favourites — about 59 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 69.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 69.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1491 v 1434 Freiburg rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 0.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Freiburg v Union Berlin

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Why we predict this

  • SC Freiburg is the stronger side on Power Rating (1491 vs 1434).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Freiburg
Form Index
Freiburg
Goal expectation
Freiburg
Home advantage
Freiburg

Green = favours Freiburg · Blue = favours Union Berlin. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FreiburgWLWLD1.4 ppg
Union BerlinDLWLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Freiburg1491
Union Berlin1434
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model59% · 24% · 17%
Power Rating56% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning61% · 19% · 20%

AI match preview

SC Freiburg enters this Bundesliga clash with a 59% chance of securing a home win against 1. FC Union Berlin, with a confidence rating of 69/100. The model predicts an expected goals tally favoring Freiburg (1.96 to 0.98), yet the most likely score remains a balanced 1-1 draw. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities hovering around 55-56%, fans can anticipate an engaging contest, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.96 – 0.98

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Europa-Park Stadion Freiburg, Germany Capacity 34,700 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 SC Freiburg 0–1 1. FC Union Berlin
Nov 2025 1. FC Union Berlin 0–0 SC Freiburg