1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction

Bundesliga · Sun 22 Mar, 14:30
1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (38%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 25%
Away 38%

💡 Eintracht Frankfurt have a slight edge — leaning Eintracht Frankfurt, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 38.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1486 v 1511 Frankfurt rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Mainz v Frankfurt

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1486 vs 1511).
  • Eintracht Frankfurt is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Frankfurt
Form Index
Frankfurt
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Mainz

Green = favours Mainz · Blue = favours Frankfurt. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MainzLDDDW1.2 ppg
FrankfurtWLWDW2 ppg
Power Rating
Mainz1486
Frankfurt1511
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 26% · 39%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning33% · 25% · 42%

AI match preview

Mainz 05 and Eintracht Frankfurt are set for a closely contested Bundesliga clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 38% over a home victory at 37%. The expected goals are nearly even, suggesting a tight match likely to produce around 1-1, while the probabilities point to a high chance of both teams scoring (67%) and a game with over 2.5 goals (65%). These projections highlight the competitive nature of the fixture, but remember to consider them as statistical probabilities and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.69

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 65%

Under 35%

Both teams to score

Yes 67%

No 33%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt
Nov 2025 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05