FC St. Pauli 1910 vs SC Freiburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Sun 22 Mar, 16:30
FC St. Pauli 1910
12 Full time
SC Freiburg
FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 SC Freiburg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (31%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 31%
Away 33%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1421 v 1476 Freiburg rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • SC Freiburg is the stronger side on Power Rating (1476 vs 1421).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Freiburg
Form Index
St. Pauli
Goal expectation
St. Pauli
Home advantage
St. Pauli

Green = favours St. Pauli · Blue = favours Freiburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
St. PauliLWWDL1.4 ppg
FreiburgLWLDL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
St. Pauli1421
Freiburg1476
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 30% · 29%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning28% · 38% · 35%

AI match preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 and SC Freiburg are set for a closely contested Bundesliga clash, with the model suggesting a slight edge for the home side but a draw remains the most probable outcome at 31%. The expected goals tally of 1.39 to 1.13 hints at a tight match, potentially ending in a 1-1 stalemate, while both teams scoring is slightly more likely than not at 52%. With under 2.5 goals favored at 54%, this game could be a tactical battle, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.13

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 SC Freiburg
Nov 2025 SC Freiburg 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910