VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Werder Bremen Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 21 Mar, 14:30
VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 SV Werder Bremen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 23%
Away 34%

💡 VfL Wolfsburg have a slight edge — leaning VfL Wolfsburg, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 45.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1410 v 1421 Bremen rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Wolfsburg v Bremen

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1410 vs 1421).
  • SV Werder Bremen is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bremen
Form Index
Bremen
Goal expectation
Bremen
Home advantage
Wolfsburg

Green = favours Wolfsburg · Blue = favours Bremen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
WolfsburgDLLLD0.4 ppg
BremenLLWWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Wolfsburg1410
Bremen1421
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 25% · 39%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning47% · 22% · 32%

AI match preview

VfL Wolfsburg host SV Werder Bremen in a closely matched Bundesliga encounter, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 43% probability. The expected goals are nearly even, suggesting a tight game likely to produce around 1-1 on the scoreboard, while there is a strong chance for both teams to score given a 68% BTTS projection. Over 2.5 goals is also a possibility at 65%, indicating potential for an open contest; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.65 – 1.72

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 65%

Under 35%

Both teams to score

Yes 68%

No 32%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Volkswagen Arena Wolfsburg, Germany Capacity 28,917 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 SV Werder Bremen
Nov 2025 SV Werder Bremen 2–1 VfL Wolfsburg