1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 21 Mar, 14:30
1. FC Köln 3–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 25%
Away 32%

💡 1. FC Köln have a slight edge — leaning 1. FC Köln, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1430 v 1454 M'gladbach rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on 1. FC Köln v M'gladbach

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1430 vs 1454).
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
M'gladbach
Form Index
M'gladbach
Goal expectation
1. FC Köln
Home advantage
1. FC Köln

Green = favours 1. FC Köln · Blue = favours M'gladbach. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
1. FC KölnLDLLD0.4 ppg
M'gladbachLLWLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
1. FC Köln1430
M'gladbach1454
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 27% · 28%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning41% · 24% · 35%

AI match preview

In this Bundesliga clash, 1. FC Köln holds a slight edge with a 43% chance of victory, though Borussia Mönchengladbach remains a strong contender at 32%. The model projects a tight encounter with an expected goals tally favoring Köln 1.66 to 1.27, and a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline. With a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% chance both teams will score, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.66 – 1.27

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

RheinEnergieStadion Cologne, Germany Capacity 50,000 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 1. FC Köln 3–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach
Nov 2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–1 1. FC Köln