Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 21 Mar, 17:30
Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Hamburger SV

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (77%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 77%
Draw 13%
Away 11%

💡 Borussia Dortmund are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 94.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 94.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1647 v 1470 Dortmund rated higher
Form Index 2 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Dortmund v HSV

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Why we predict this

  • Borussia Dortmund is the stronger side on Power Rating (1647 vs 1470).
  • Borussia Dortmund is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Dortmund
Form Index
Dortmund
Goal expectation
Dortmund
Home advantage
Dortmund

Green = favours Dortmund · Blue = favours HSV. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
DortmundWDLWW2 ppg
HSVDLLWD1 ppg
Power Rating
Dortmund1647
HSV1470
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model72% · 20% · 8%
Power Rating71% · 12% · 18%
Machine-learning88% · 6% · 6%

AI match preview

Borussia Dortmund enter this Bundesliga clash as strong favorites with a 77% probability of securing a home win against Hamburger SV, backed by a high confidence rating of 94/100. The model projects Dortmund to score around 2.12 goals while limiting their opponents to just 0.59, making a 2-0 victory the most likely outcome. With just over a 50% chance for more than 2.5 goals and a 40% likelihood of both teams scoring, expect a match leaning towards a solid Dortmund performance, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.12 – 0.59

Most likely score

2-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Signal Iduna Park Dortmund, Germany Capacity 81,365 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Hamburger SV
Nov 2025 Hamburger SV 1–1 Borussia Dortmund