VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 4 Apr, 17:30
VfB Stuttgart 0–2 Borussia Dortmund

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (29%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 29%
Away 34%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 37.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1608 v 1651 Dortmund rated higher
Form Index 2.2 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Borussia Dortmund is the stronger side on Power Rating (1651 vs 1608).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Dortmund
Form Index
Stuttgart
Goal expectation
Dortmund
Home advantage
Stuttgart

Green = favours Stuttgart · Blue = favours Dortmund. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StuttgartDWDWW2.2 ppg
DortmundDLWWW2 ppg
Power Rating
Stuttgart1608
Dortmund1651
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 30% · 37%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning36% · 33% · 31%

AI match preview

VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund are projected to play out a closely contested Bundesliga clash, with the model giving Stuttgart a slight edge at 37% but the draw also a strong possibility at 29%. Expected goals are nearly even, around 1.22 for the home side and 1.29 for Dortmund, suggesting a tight match likely to produce a 1-1 scoreline. With both teams finding the net in just over half of simulations (53%) and under 2.5 goals favored at 54%, fans can anticipate a balanced encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.22 – 1.29

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

MHPArena Stuttgart, Germany Capacity 60,449 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 VfB Stuttgart 0–2 Borussia Dortmund
Nov 2025 Borussia Dortmund 3–3 VfB Stuttgart