Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 4 Apr, 14:30
Hamburger SV
11 Full time
FC Augsburg
Hamburger SV 1–1 FC Augsburg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (49%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 49%
Draw 23%
Away 28%

💡 Hamburger SV are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 55.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 55.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1465 v 1449 HSV rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on HSV v Augsburg

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1465 vs 1449).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
HSV
Form Index
Augsburg
Goal expectation
HSV
Home advantage
HSV

Green = favours HSV · Blue = favours Augsburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HSVLLWDL0.8 ppg
AugsburgWWLLL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
HSV1465
Augsburg1449
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 28% · 21%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning47% · 22% · 31%

AI match preview

Hamburger SV holds a 49% chance of securing a home victory against FC Augsburg, with the model suggesting a closely contested match given the 23% draw probability and expected goals of 1.65 to 0.99. Despite the home win pick, the most likely scoreline is 1-1, reflecting a balanced encounter with both teams having a 52% chance to score. Over 2.5 goals stands at 49%, indicating a moderate likelihood of a high-scoring game; remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.65 – 0.99

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Hamburger SV 1–1 FC Augsburg
Nov 2025 FC Augsburg 1–0 Hamburger SV