1. FC Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli 1910 Prediction

Bundesliga · Sun 5 Apr, 14:30
1. FC Union Berlin 1–1 FC St. Pauli 1910

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 22%
Away 26%

💡 1. FC Union Berlin are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 59.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1444 v 1410 Union Berlin rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Union Berlin v St. Pauli

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1444 vs 1410).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Union Berlin
Form Index
St. Pauli
Goal expectation
Union Berlin
Home advantage
Union Berlin

Green = favours Union Berlin · Blue = favours St. Pauli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Union BerlinWLLWL1.2 ppg
St. PauliWWDLL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Union Berlin1444
St. Pauli1410
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 30% · 23%
Power Rating52% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning57% · 19% · 25%

AI match preview

1. FC Union Berlin hold a 52% chance of securing a home win against FC St. Pauli 1910, with a moderate confidence level of 59/100, while a draw or away win remain plausible outcomes. The model forecasts 1.42 expected goals for Union Berlin and 0.93 for St. Pauli, suggesting a tight contest with the most likely scoreline at 1-1. With a 42% probability for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate a competitive match, though outcomes may vary—please remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.42 – 0.93

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadion An der Alten Forsterei Berlin, Germany Capacity 22,012 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 1. FC Union Berlin 1–1 FC St. Pauli 1910
Nov 2025 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–1 1. FC Union Berlin