FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern München Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 11 Apr, 17:30
FC St. Pauli 1910 0–5 FC Bayern München

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (71%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 8%
Draw 20%
Away 71%

💡 FC Bayern München are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 85.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 85.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1413 v 1730 Bayern rated higher
Form Index 1 v 2.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • FC Bayern München is the stronger side on Power Rating (1730 vs 1413).
  • FC Bayern München is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (3.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bayern
Form Index
Bayern
Goal expectation
Bayern
Home advantage
St. Pauli

Green = favours St. Pauli · Blue = favours Bayern. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
St. PauliWDLLD1 ppg
BayernWWDWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
St. Pauli1413
Bayern1730
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model6% · 13% · 81%
Power Rating17% · 12% · 71%
Machine-learning1% · 37% · 62%

AI match preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 face a tough challenge at home against FC Bayern München, who are favored with a 71% chance to claim victory according to the model. The expected goals tally suggests Bayern could score around three times to St. Pauli’s less than one, with a 0-2 scoreline the most probable outcome. While over 2.5 goals is likely at 73%, both teams scoring is slightly more uncertain at 52%; remember these are statistical projections and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.77 – 3.00

Most likely score

0-2

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 73%

Under 27%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–5 FC Bayern München
Nov 2025 FC Bayern München 3–1 FC St. Pauli 1910