1. FC Köln vs SV Werder Bremen Prediction

Bundesliga · Sun 12 Apr, 14:30
1. FC Köln
31 Full time
SV Werder Bremen
1. FC Köln 3–1 SV Werder Bremen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 21%
Away 31%

💡 1. FC Köln are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 52.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1432 v 1425 1. FC Köln rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on 1. FC Köln v Bremen

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1432 vs 1425).
  • SV Werder Bremen is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Bremen
Goal expectation
1. FC Köln
Home advantage
1. FC Köln

Green = favours 1. FC Köln · Blue = favours Bremen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
1. FC KölnLLDDD0.6 ppg
BremenWWLWL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
1. FC Köln1432
Bremen1425
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 26% · 29%
Power Rating48% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning50% · 18% · 32%

AI match preview

1. FC Köln host SV Werder Bremen in a Bundesliga clash where the home side holds a 48% chance of victory, while a draw or away win stand at 21% and 31% respectively. The model projects a tight game with expected goals of 1.75 for Köln and 1.37 for Bremen, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline despite a slight edge to the hosts. With a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an open contest, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.37

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 63%

No 37%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

RheinEnergieStadion Cologne, Germany Capacity 50,000 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 1. FC Köln 3–1 SV Werder Bremen
Nov 2025 SV Werder Bremen 1–1 1. FC Köln