TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 18 Apr, 14:30
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–1 Borussia Dortmund

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (43%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 27%
Away 43%

💡 Borussia Dortmund have a slight edge — leaning Borussia Dortmund, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 47.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1555 v 1653 Dortmund rated higher
Form Index 1 v 2.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Borussia Dortmund is the stronger side on Power Rating (1653 vs 1555).
  • Borussia Dortmund is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Dortmund
Form Index
Dortmund
Goal expectation
Dortmund
Home advantage
Hoffenheim

Green = favours Hoffenheim · Blue = favours Dortmund. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HoffenheimWDLLD1 ppg
DortmundWWWWL2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Hoffenheim1555
Dortmund1653
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model31% · 27% · 42%
Power Rating34% · 24% · 42%
Machine-learning24% · 29% · 47%

AI match preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim hosts Borussia Dortmund in a Bundesliga clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 43%, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 27%. Expected goals suggest a tight contest with Hoffenheim scoring around 1.37 and Dortmund 1.60, aligning with the most likely 1-1 scoreline. With a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% probability of both teams scoring, this match promises an engaging battle—remember, these projections are statistical and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.60

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–1 Borussia Dortmund
Dec 2025 Borussia Dortmund 2–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim