1. FC Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 18 Apr, 14:30
1. FC Union Berlin 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 22%
Away 27%

💡 1. FC Union Berlin are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 59.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1423 v 1379 Union Berlin rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 0.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Union Berlin v Wolfsburg

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • 1. FC Union Berlin is the stronger side on Power Rating (1423 vs 1379).
  • 1. FC Union Berlin is in clearly better recent form (0.8 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Union Berlin
Form Index
Union Berlin
Goal expectation
Union Berlin
Home advantage
Union Berlin

Green = favours Union Berlin · Blue = favours Wolfsburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Union BerlinLWLDL0.8 ppg
WolfsburgLDLLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Union Berlin1423
Wolfsburg1379
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 25% · 28%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning53% · 23% · 23%

AI match preview

1. FC Union Berlin host VfL Wolfsburg in a Bundesliga clash where the home side holds a 52% chance of victory according to model projections, with a draw and away win trailing at 22% and 27% respectively. Expected goals suggest a competitive encounter with 1.88 for Union Berlin and 1.41 for Wolfsburg, and a 1-1 draw emerges as the most likely scoreline. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are also probable outcomes, with chances around 64% and 65%; remember, these are statistical forecasts—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.88 – 1.41

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Stadium & conditions

Stadion An der Alten Forsterei Berlin, Germany Capacity 22,012 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 1. FC Union Berlin 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg
Dec 2025 VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 1. FC Union Berlin