FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FC Köln Prediction

Bundesliga · Fri 17 Apr, 19:30
FC St. Pauli 1910
11 Full time
1. FC Köln
FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 1. FC Köln

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (39%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 34%
Draw 27%
Away 39%

💡 1. FC Köln have a slight edge — leaning 1. FC Köln, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1405 v 1446 1. FC Köln rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on St. Pauli v 1. FC Köln

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Why we predict this

  • 1. FC Köln is the stronger side on Power Rating (1446 vs 1405).
  • 1. FC Köln is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
1. FC Köln
Form Index
1. FC Köln
Goal expectation
1. FC Köln
Home advantage
St. Pauli

Green = favours St. Pauli · Blue = favours 1. FC Köln. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
St. PauliDLLDL0.4 ppg
1. FC KölnLDDDW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
St. Pauli1405
1. FC Köln1446
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 30% · 40%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning31% · 27% · 43%

AI match preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 and 1. FC Köln face off in a closely matched Bundesliga contest, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 39% probability over a home victory at 34%. The expected goals suggest a tight game with a 1.15 to 1.36 margin, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline, while both teams scoring is projected at 52%. Over 2.5 goals is less probable at 46%, so this match could hinge on fine margins—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.15 – 1.36

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 1. FC Köln
Dec 2025 1. FC Köln 1–1 FC St. Pauli 1910