SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 18 Apr, 14:30
SV Werder Bremen
31 Full time
Hamburger SV
SV Werder Bremen 3–1 Hamburger SV

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 29%
Away 32%

💡 SV Werder Bremen have a slight edge — leaning SV Werder Bremen, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 41.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1412 v 1453 HSV rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bremen v HSV

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Why we predict this

  • Hamburger SV is the stronger side on Power Rating (1453 vs 1412).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
HSV
Form Index
Bremen
Goal expectation
Bremen
Home advantage
Bremen

Green = favours Bremen · Blue = favours HSV. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BremenWLWLL1.2 ppg
HSVWDLDL1 ppg
Power Rating
Bremen1412
HSV1453
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 31% · 29%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning37% · 32% · 31%

AI match preview

SV Werder Bremen hosts Hamburger SV in a closely contested Bundesliga clash, with the model giving the home side a slight edge at 39% to win, while a draw and away victory are also well within reach at 29% and 32%, respectively. The expected goals suggest a tight match, projecting 1.29 for Bremen and 1.07 for Hamburg, with a 1-1 draw as the most probable scoreline. With under 50% probability for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, this game could hinge on narrow margins; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.29 – 1.07

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Weserstadion Bremen, Germany Capacity 42,100 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 SV Werder Bremen 3–1 Hamburger SV
Dec 2025 Hamburger SV 3–2 SV Werder Bremen