Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 18 Apr, 14:30
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–2 FC Augsburg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (71%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 71%
Draw 14%
Away 14%

💡 Bayer 04 Leverkusen are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 87.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 87.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1582 v 1453 Leverkusen rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 0.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Leverkusen v Augsburg

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Why we predict this

  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1582 vs 1453).
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Leverkusen
Form Index
Leverkusen
Goal expectation
Leverkusen
Home advantage
Leverkusen

Green = favours Leverkusen · Blue = favours Augsburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeverkusenDDDWW1.8 ppg
AugsburgLLLDD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Leverkusen1582
Augsburg1453
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model69% · 19% · 11%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 22%
Machine-learning79% · 12% · 9%

AI match preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen enters this Bundesliga clash with a strong 71% projected chance of victory, backed by a confidence rating of 87/100 and an expected goal tally of 2.38 compared to FC Augsburg’s 0.89. The model suggests a most likely 2-0 scoreline, with a 63% probability for over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance both teams will score. These projections highlight potential outcomes but are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.38 – 0.89

Most likely score

2-0

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 63%

Under 37%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–2 FC Augsburg
Dec 2025 FC Augsburg 2–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen